Track Record

Past Accuracy

Transparent tracking of our election prediction performance

Average Accuracy
89.5%

Across all elections

Elections Tracked
6

Recent elections

Best Performance
98.00%

2024 Nova Scotia General Election

Detailed Results

Most recent elections on top

ElectionAccuracyProjected SeatsResults
2024 Nova Scotia General Election
98.00
PC: 44LIB: 2NDP: 8OTH: 1
PC: 43LIB: 2NDP: 9OTH: 1
2024 Saskatchewan General Election
92.00
NDP: 32SKP: 29
NDP: 27SKP: 34
2024 New Brunswick General Election
90.00
PC: 21GRN: 2LIB: 26
PC: 16GRN: 2LIB: 31
2025 Canadian Federal Election
86.00
BQ: 24CPC: 137GRN: 2LPC: 167NDP: 13
BQ: 22CPC: 144GRN: 1LPC: 169NDP: 7
2024 BC General Election
86.00
CON: 46GRN: 2NDP: 45
CON: 44GRN: 2NDP: 47
2025 Ontario General Election
85.00
PC: 87GRN: 2LIB: 19NDP: 15OTH: 1
PC: 80GRN: 2LIB: 14NDP: 27OTH: 1

Note: Accuracy is calculated based on the percentage of seats correctly predicted. Our methodology focuses on seat projections rather than vote share predictions.